Wednesday, January 23, 2019

Kamala Gains Momentum in 2nd DK Straw Poll

by Pa Rock
Citizen Journalist

Two weeks ago I posted results from the first Daily Kos straw poll of Democratic presidential contenders on this site.  At that time only two candidates had committed to any form of announcement - Senator Elizabeth Warren and former HUD Secretary Julian Castro.  Warren led that poll of Daily Kos readers - a decidedly left-tilting group - with 22% of the vote.  Beto O'Rourke was in second place with 15% of the vote followed by Kamala Harris and Joe Biden with 14% each.  Bernie Sanders was fifth at 11%,  Cory Booker was next with 3%, and Julian Castro and Kirsten Gillibrand each had one percent.

Today Daily Kos is out with an updated poll, one showing a big surge for California Senator Kamala Harris.  This poll began yesterday, one day after Senator Harris formally announced her entry into the race, a fact that may have fueled her momentum

The new DK poll puts Kamala Harris in first place with 28% of the vote.  Elizabeth Warren is second at 18%, and she is followed by geriatrics Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders who are each polling twelve percent.  Beto O'Rourke has slipped to fifth place with 8%.  Sherrod Brown of Ohio is sixth at 6%, Cory Booker is down to 2% and in 7th place, and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii is in 8th at one percent of the vote.

"Unsure" polled 6%, and "Other" brought in five percent.

Not included in this week's poll were Julian Castro, Kirsten Gillibrand, and Hillary Clinton.

Overall, it looks as though Senator Harris is on the move, though some of the momentum may be a temporary reaction to the nearness of her announcement, Senator Warren has dropped a bit but is still a major player, and Biden and Bernie, who have each moved up two points, are vying to become the field's elder statesman.  Beto O'Rourke took the biggest hit, seeing his numbers almost cut in half over the two week period, but, hey, he's busy roadtrippin' and not into a slugfest mode - yet.  Cory Booker has yet to figure out how to exit the basement, and Tulsi Gabbard looks as though she will disappearing from the scene before many more of these bi-monthly polls are held.

Another young aspirant entered (kinda, sorta) the contest today on the Democratic side today.  Pete Buttigieg, the 37-year-old mayor of South Bend, Indiana, has set up a committee to "explore" the possibility of a presidential run.  Buttieieg, a combat veteran who also happens to be gay, would further increase the diversity of this amazing field of candidates.

Yes, it's still too early to know much with any degree of certainty, but the Democratic edge of the Democratic Party is beginning to make itself heard.  And so far most seem to agree on one very critical point, they will support their party's nominee over Donald John Trump, regardless of which candidate the process anoints.   Defeating the 400-pound, bigoted gorilla is the top priority!

(Recommendation to Daily Kos:  Try listing all of the candidates on the next straw poll ballot and let's see where that takes us.  Gillibrand, Castro, and even Hillary need to be weighed and measured.  Their presence on the ballot would ripple across the entire spectrum of candidates and give a clearer picture of what your readers are thinking.  Just sayin' . . . )




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